Graded record

Genome scores public companies for two events: credit deterioration and earnings deterioration. This page shows how those scores have scored against what happened, in two records kept apart. The live record holds predictions written on the day and graded once their horizon passes. The retrospective record re-runs the same model code on 2018–2025 using only what was public at each date, and grades it against events rebuilt from public filings.

Credit is a rank, not a probability. Its score orders companies by risk; its retrospective record shows it does not convert into a calibrated probability, so it is served as a percentile.